Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Summary of Super Tuesday

Mitt Romney won six states on Super Tuesday but in answer to Politics Simplified's question "Can Romney Seal the Deal?", the answer was clearly no.


Romney was able to win Ohio, a state of over 11 million people, by a grand total of 12,000 votes, with 96% of the precincts reporting.  Even more telling, with approximately five million Republicans, 3.8 million of those voters chose not to vote for any of the four candidates.  That was a theme common to all ten states--very low turnout for the GOP primary.


Romney was also able to win Alaska, Idaho, Massachusetts (where he was Governor), Vermont and Virginia, but Santorum's strength in the South and among conservative voters indicated this will be a long race and not a short one.  With most of the votes counted, it is estimated that Romney picked up 197 delegates to 59 for Santorum.  That in and of itself is a bone of contention.


In a race in which the two candidates were nearly even, the ridiculous "winner take all" format in some states and lopsided distribution of delegates in others, means that Santorum wound up with the short end of the stick.  With vast differences between the two candidates' positions on emotional issues such as abortion (as evidenced by the conservative vote), that is no doubt going to make Santorum's supporters furious.


Newt Gingrich was able to win his home state of Georgia with Romney finishing second and Santorum a disappointing third.  Gingrich earned 67 delegates while Ron Paul received 32 delegates yesterday.  Thus Romney won over half of the delegates even though there were only two states (Massachusetts and Vermont) in which he captured over 50% of the vote.  


And so the campaign marches on.  Here are the estimated vote totals from yesterday:


Alaska:
Romney 4,285 (32%)  8 delegates
Santorum 3,860 (29%) 7 delegates
Paul 3,175 (24%) 6 delegates
Gingrich 1,865 (14% 3 delegates


(99% reporting)




Georgia:
Gingrich 417,364 (47%) 42 delegates
Romney 225, 926 (26%) 10 delegates
Santorum 172, (20%) 0 delegates
Paul 57, 125 (6%) 0 delegates


(98% reporting)




Idaho:
Romney 27, 514 (62%) 32 delegates
Santorum 8,115 (18%)
Paul 8,086 (8,086) 18 delegates
Gingrich 940 (2%) 0 delegates


(89% reporting)




Massachusetts:
Romney 260,509 (72%) 38 delegates
Santorum 43, 614 (12%) 0 delegates
Paul 34, 575 (10%) 0 delegates
Gingrich 16,756 (5%) 0 delegates


(99% reporting)




North Dakota:
Santorum 4,510 (40%) 11 delegates
Paul 3,186 (28%) 8 delegates
Romney 2,691 (24%) 7 delegates
Gingrich 962 (8%) 2 delegates


(76% reporting)




Ohio:
Romney 453,927 (38%) 26 delegates
Santorum 441,908 (37%) 19 delegates
Gingrich 174, 606 (15%) 0 delegates
Paul 110, 633 (9%) 0 delegates


(96% reporting)




Oklahoma:
Santorum 96,759 (34%) 14 delegates
Romney 80,291 (28%) 13 delegates
Gingrich 78,686 (27%) 13 delegates
Paul 27,572 (10%) 0 delegates


(99% reporting)




Tennessee:
Santorum 204,978 (37%) 25 delegates
Romney 153,889 (28%) 12 delegates
Gingrich 132,142 (24%) 7 delegates
Paul 49,782 (9%) 0 delegates


(96% reporting)




Vermont:
Romney 22,533 (40%) 8 delegates
Paul 14,407 (25%) 3 delegates
Santorum 13,401 (24%) 3 delegates
Gingrich 4,608 (8%) 0 delegates


(99% reporting)




Virginia:
Romney 158,050 (60%) 43 delegates
Paul 107,470 (40%) 3 delegates


(99% reporting)

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